Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.025786 0.027975 0.030264 0.032836 0.035648 0.038632 0.042039
2025-08-17 0.021893 0.025001 0.028434 0.032515 0.037243 0.042558 0.049002
2025-08-24 0.019223 0.022791 0.026895 0.031981 0.038132 0.045357 0.054522
2025-08-31 0.017384 0.021244 0.025832 0.031711 0.039079 0.048050 0.059867
2025-09-07 0.015946 0.019995 0.024944 0.031474 0.039909 0.050507 0.064933
2025-09-14 0.014798 0.018982 0.024225 0.031322 0.040745 0.052920 0.069993
2025-09-21 0.013734 0.017979 0.023418 0.030953 0.041208 0.054799 0.074381
2025-09-28 0.012989 0.017329 0.023006 0.031044 0.042239 0.057438 0.079905
2025-10-05 0.012234 0.016607 0.022438 0.030859 0.042842 0.059477 0.084662
2025-10-12 0.011663 0.016095 0.022111 0.030968 0.043831 0.062073 0.090335
2025-10-19 0.011153 0.015632 0.021816 0.031086 0.044812 0.064681 0.096147
2025-10-26 0.010636 0.015125 0.021423 0.031025 0.045507 0.066877 0.101437
2025-11-02 0.010243 0.014796 0.021296 0.031391 0.046923 0.070332 0.109068
2025-11-09 0.009653 0.014150 0.020674 0.030982 0.047143 0.071988 0.114003
2025-11-16 0.009084 0.013502 0.020009 0.030459 0.047141 0.073275 0.118401
2025-11-23 0.008631 0.013002 0.019537 0.030201 0.047524 0.075175 0.123906
2025-11-30 0.008223 0.012547 0.019106 0.029976 0.047933 0.077117 0.129587
2025-12-07 0.007864 0.012151 0.018743 0.029832 0.048455 0.079259 0.135730
2025-12-14 0.007486 0.011703 0.018273 0.029482 0.048603 0.080762 0.140825
2025-12-21 0.007229 0.011435 0.018075 0.029569 0.049485 0.083557 0.148411
2025-12-28 0.006934 0.011091 0.017736 0.029393 0.049897 0.085544 0.154631
2026-01-04 0.006714 0.010859 0.017567 0.029496 0.050796 0.088432 0.162717
2026-01-11 0.006508 0.010641 0.017410 0.029608 0.051709 0.091388 0.171120